Predictors of Diabetes in Older People in Urban China

Ruoling Chen, Yiqing Song, Zhi Hu, Eric John Brunner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background: China has the largest number of people with diabetes in the world. Over the last 30 years China has experienced rapid economic growth and a growing income gap between rich and poor. The population is ageing, however diabetes in older people has not been well studied to date. In this study we determined incidence and predictors of diabetes in older Chinese people. Methods: During 2001, using a standard interview method, we examined 1,317 adults aged ≥65 years who did not have diabetes in the city of Hefei, and characterized baseline risk factors. Over 7.5 years of follow up, we documented incident diabetes using self-reported doctor diagnosis and the cause of death in the whole cohort, and HbA1C ≥48 mmol/mol in a nested case-control sample. A multivariate Cox regression model was employed to investigate risk of diabetes in relation to baseline risk factors. Results: During follow up, 119 persons had newly diagnosed diabetes. World age-standardised incidence of diabetes was 24.5 (95% CI 19.5-29.5) per 1,000 person-years. Risk of diabetes was significantly and positively associated with income, waist circumference and body mass index, smoking and uncontrolled hypertension, but negatively associated with having a hobby of walking and frequency of visiting children/other relatives and contacting neighbours/friends. Higher income was significantly associated with increased diabetes risk regardless of cardiovascular and psychosocial risk factors. Compared to those with middle income and no psychosocial risk factors, the hazard ratio for incident diabetes among participants with high income and psychosocial risk was 2.13 (95% CI 1.02-4.45). Conclusions: Increasing incidence of diabetes in relation to high income has become an important public health issue in China. Maintaining social networks and gentle physical activities and reducing psychosocial factors may be integrated into current multi-faceted preventive strategies for curbing the epidemic of diabetes in the older population.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numbere50957
JournalPLoS One
Volume7
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 30 2012
Externally publishedYes

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Medical problems
diabetes
China
income
Psychology
risk factors
Hobbies
Economic Development
Incidence
Waist Circumference
Proportional Hazards Models
Social Support
Population
Walking
incidence
Cause of Death
Body Mass Index
Cohort Studies
Public Health
Smoking

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Medicine(all)

Cite this

Predictors of Diabetes in Older People in Urban China. / Chen, Ruoling; Song, Yiqing; Hu, Zhi; Brunner, Eric John.

In: PLoS One, Vol. 7, No. 11, e50957, 30.11.2012.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Chen, Ruoling ; Song, Yiqing ; Hu, Zhi ; Brunner, Eric John. / Predictors of Diabetes in Older People in Urban China. In: PLoS One. 2012 ; Vol. 7, No. 11.
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